![]() It boasts that it correctly predicted this year’s hotly-contested New York City mayoral primary. Blair’s campaign manager, Adrienne Christian, said that the poll showed that “Montgomery County voters expect better and know David is the only candidate who can deliver.”ĭata for Progress queried 446 Montgomery Democrats between July 8 and July 12. On July 7, a survey of 504 likely Democratic voters by Blair’s pollster, Garin-Hart-Yang, showed Elrich’s lead down to one point, 29% to 28%, with nearly a quarter of the electorate undecided. I would be shocked if progressive voters will actually vote for a former Republican who’s trying to buy himself this seat,” he added, a reference to Blair. “ost voters are still making up their minds. Riemer’s campaign manager, Aziz Yakub, said the poll suggests that “voters are clearly calling for change.” He called the race “fluid.” “Blair’s millions and the millions contributed by billionaire real-estate magnates is tantamount to petty oligarchs buying this seat and I believe this is not sitting well with a critical mass of democratic voters,” he added. In an email on Monday, Larry Harris, a principal at Mason-Dixon and an Elrich supporter, said Blair has “failed to make the case for change, as Marc receives strong marks for his handling of key issues of concern.” He retains strong support among women but is underwater (44% favorable, 51% unfavorable) among men. ![]() In the new poll, his numbers have dropped to 48/42. In early June, Elrich had a favorable/unfavorable rating of 55/26. The new survey was funded by Jonathan Robinson, an affordable housing advocate told Maryland Matters last month that he “is personally not a fan of Marc Elrich but I am not supporting any candidate.” He has donated to Riemer. Independent groups funded by business interests - including the provocatively named Progressives for Progress - have spent millions more on anti-Elrich ads.Įlrich, who has never been a prolific fundraiser, is participating in the county’s public financing system for candidates. Blair has loaned his campaign $4.8 million, according to the most recent campaign finance report. In addition, voters have received numerous mailers and the airwaves have been saturated with ads. Since the first survey, the Washington Post endorsed Blair. A late May/early June survey by the same firm showed Elrich with a commanding lead, 41% to 20%, with Riemer at 18% and 20% undecided. ![]() If the poll is an accurate reflection of the electorate, it suggests late momentum for Blair, who is trying to thwart Elrich’s bid for a second term. Early voting ended on Thursday and the primary is July 19. Candidate Peter James, who ran for congress as a Republican in 2012, has one percent support. Sign up for Maryland Matters’ free email subscription today.įour years ago, Marc Elrich and David Blair finished 77 votes apart in the race for Montgomery County executive.Ī poll released on Friday shows that - with the all-important Democratic primary just days away - the pair could be headed for another photo finish.Īccording to Data for Progress, a San Francisco-based firm, Elrich and Blair are tied at 34%, with County Councilmember Hans Riemer at 20% and 11% undecided. This content was republished with permission from WTOP’s news partners at Maryland Matters. Business & Finance Click to expand menu.
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